H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Tortilla ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a hurricane on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was initially anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and extremely powerful cyclone that caused enormous damage and considerable death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have actually now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests hurricane conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane experts formerly cautioned hurricanes could form in unusual locations later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious hazards and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy